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March 6, 2006

Is Skadden's Revenue Closer to $1.5-Billion or to $7.5-Billion?

It's official, according to The Lawyer:  For Skadden and six other firms, 2005 was indeed, as Skadden's New York-based M&A partner Tom Kennedy put it, "a very good year." 

For the first time ever, seven US firms topped $1.0-billion in revenue, Skadden first among this august pack at $1.58B, and Weil-Gotshal at $1.00B (the suspiciously round number doubtless making some wonder if they've been taking accounting lessons from Jack Welch (and see this), but at "Adam Smith, Esq." we tend to take these reports at face value absent insider info to the contrary—which we utterly lack here).  Here's the breakdown of the top 20 US firms by revenue:

US TOP 20 FIRMS
Rank Firm Location Rev 2005 Rev 2004
% change
PEP 2005 PEP 2004
% change
      ($m) (£m) ($m) (£m)
($K) (£K) ($K) (£K)
1 Skadden New York 1,580.0 903.7 1,440.0 823.7
10
1,850 1,058 1,735 992
6.5
2 Latham & Watkins Los Angeles 1,400.0 800.8 1,206.0 689.8
16
1,600 915 1,405 804
14
3 Baker & McKenzie Chicago 1,352.0 773.3 1,228.0 702.4
10
750 429 655 375
14.5
4 Jones Day National 1,309.0 748.7 1,190.0 680.7
10
808 462 735 420
10
5 Sidley New York 1,124.0 642.9 1,029.0 588.6
9
1,235 706 1,020 583
21
6 White & Case New York 1,050.0 600.6 953.0 545.1
10
1,240 709 1,220 698
2
7 Weil Gotshal & Manges New York 1,000.0 572.0 905.0 517.6
10.5
1,850 1,058 1,700 972
9
8 MBR&M Chicago 979.0 560.0 911.0 521.1
7.5
968 554 905 518
7
9 Kirkland Ellis Chicago 935.0 534.8 835.0 477.6
12
2,170 1,241 1,975 1,130
10
10 Sullivan & Cromwell New York 916.0 523.9 833.0 476.5
10
2,590 1,481 2,350 1,344
10
11 Shearman & Sterling New York 830.0 474.7 775.0 443.3
7
1,380 789 1,150 658
20
12 Wilmer Hale Washington DC 815.0 466.2 750.0 429.0
8.5
915 523 870 498
5
13 Cleary Gottlieb New York 813.0 465.0 695.0 397.5
17
1,970 1,127 1,715 981
15
14 O'Melveny & Myers Los Angeles 808.0 462.2 697.0 398.7
16
1,610 921 1,310 749
23
15 Morgan Lewis National 805.0 460.4 723.0 413.5
11
1,002 573 900 515
11
16 McDermott Chicago 799.5 457.3 745.0 426.1
7
1,190 681 1,119 640
6
17 Greenberg Traurig National 860.0 491.9 712.0 407.2
21
N/A N/A 985 563
N/A
18 Gibson Dunn Los Angeles 746.0 426.7 693.0 396.4
8
1,635 935 1,516 867
8
19 Simpson Thacher New York 730.0 417.5 691.0 395.2
6
2,400 1,373 2,330 1,333
3
20 Hogan & Hartson Washington, DC 690.0 394.7 630.0 360.3
9.5
900 515 825 472
9

The indubitable Financial Times, which has always covered law-land better than the WSJ, also has the story.

As you can see, more than half recorded revenue jumps in the double-digit percentages, and PPP increases were even better.

More impressive still?  What I call the "Complexity Quotient" of managing a sophisticated professional services firm.  According to my friends in management-consulting ranks, the rule of thumb they employ when estimated the challenges facing leaders of a professional services firm as contrasted to those facing management of a retail, manufacturing, or construction firm (say) is that $1.00 of professional service revenue is 5 times more complicated than $1.00 of garden-variety revenue. 

Which means Skadden isn't strictly comparable to a $1.5-billion/year "regular economy" firm, but rather to a $7.5-billion/year firm in more conventional sectors.  This would make them, by revenue, one-quarter the size of Intel, or nearly as large as the domestic video-game industry.

Which leads those of a contrarian frame of mind (moi?!) to pose the following question to you, smart and savvy readers:

Is there a natural limit to the size of global law firms?
No; like global accounting firms and banks, they can grow to the sky.
Yes; at some point the proliferation of conflicts will become insuperable.
Yes; it will simply become impossible to manage such complex enterprises.
Yes; extreme differences in profitability between practice groups will be fatally divisive.
Yes; extreme differences in profitability between geographic regions will be fatally divisive.
Only if the globalization of firms' Fortune/FTSE 100 client base stops.
Only if a firm collapses in a spectacular implosion.
Maybe, maybe not; I plan to be retired by then.
  
Free polls from Pollhost.com

Rules of the poll road:

  • I will leave it up for about 10 days.
  • Multiple answers are permitted, but we trust your discretion in keeping them internally consistent.
  • You'll read all about the results right here, so stay tuned.

In the meantime, my kudos to Earle Yaffa.

Posted by Bruce at March 6, 2006 5:19 PM | TrackBack
Posted to Cultural Considerations | Finance | Globalization | Leadership | M&A | Strategy

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